On the 9th, the Association announced the passenger car data for March, both production and sales maintained a high-speed growth of nearly 15% year-on-year; today, Baosteel introduced the May price policy, all varieties open flat, hot and cold rolling, silicon steel and subordinate Meigang galvanized The variety of orders increased by 100-200 yuan / ton. In the market after the Spring Festival, the decline of nearly 15% and other Anshou Shougang plant in April-May fell sharply ex-factory price, while increasing the expectations of the March recovery policy, Baosteel in the first four months of all the way up after May, cautiously open the flat ?
First, the car market in the peak season supports strong Japanese car companies to recover nearly 90%
Yesterday's passenger car latest data: China's general passenger car sales in March reached 1.459 million, an increase of 15%, the output of 1.645 million, an increase of 14.1%; narrow passenger car sales of 1.274 million, an increase of 19.1%, the output of 145.7 Ten thousand vehicles, an increase of 17.4%. Although the total data of automobile production and sales in March has not been announced, from the data of Volkswagen, General Motors, Guangzhou Automobile, and Japanese and Korean cars that have been announced, the domestic automobile production and sales data will maintain a relatively high growth rate in March, and some car enterprises will produce and sell data. A new high in history.
The Japanese cars that have a close influence on Baosteel's cold-plated products have to be mentioned separately: In September last year, due to the dispute over the Diaoyu Islands, the tragic situation of Japanese car sales plummeting by 5-7 percent was still vivid, but the orders of Japanese car companies began to slow at the beginning of this year. More than half of the recovery, and the latest March data shows that Japanese car sales have recovered nearly 90% year-on-year, and the recovery rate has exceeded some industry experts' expectations. This directly supports Baosteel's auto steel orders, and the support price is stable.
Second, Baosteel's leading model to stabilize the market is the first priority
After the Spring Festival, the domestic steel market all the way down, finally ushered in the end of March and early April to stabilize the market. Baosteel, as the leader of domestic steel enterprises, bears the brunt of the stability of market confidence during the critical period of the April-May market. Second, due to Baosteel's Baosteel stainless steel, Meisteel, Ninggang and many other resources directly placed on the market, the proportion of terminal direct supply is not high. Of course, we must also consider the operation status of this part of the steel traders when pricing, so appropriately increase the order discount. Balanced. Third, most of Baosteel's automotive steel prices are quarterly. The price tone in the second quarter was basically determined in the previous month (April). In the case of a small increase or decrease in market prices, the May-June price policy for its automotive steel orders. Has little effect. Therefore, in the case of flat trading in May, Baosteel appropriately increased the preferential treatment, that is, fulfilling the responsibility of stabilizing the market and taking into account the interests of all parties.
Although Baosteel has the highest performance rate, at present, the website understands that other major steel mills' price policy in May is still expected to be lowered by 100-200 yuan/ton, and at the same time, for the serious varieties of upside down in March, there is a recovery policy of 200-300 yuan/ton. There may be a certain impact on the short-term market impact. Although the price adjustment expectations of various steel mills are quite different from those of Baosteel, the steel mills are expected to be consistent with the market and hope that the steel market will stabilize in April-May. However, from the market point of view: the short-term impact of the "H7N9" virus, North Korea missile launches, the steel market price rebound is highly limited; the medium and long-term steel market is subject to high output and inventory pressure, while the economic trend in March-April is relatively low, Industrial operating conditions are lower than expected, so it is prudent to expect a much weaker room for the steel market to have a slightly weaker range in April-May. (China United Steel Network)
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