Abstract Recently, China Machine Tool Industry Association released the economic operation analysis report from January to September. The report pointed out that the world economy was in a fragile recovery stage in the first three quarters of 2013, and the developed economies generally tend to improve, but they still face high unemployment and high deficits. The problem of insufficient growth stamina; new...
Recently, China Machine Tool Industry Association released the economic operation analysis report from January to September. The report pointed out that the world economy was in a fragile recovery stage in the first three quarters of 2013, and the developed economies generally tend to improve, but still face high unemployment, high deficit and growth. The problem of insufficient stamina; the structural adjustment of emerging economies is lagging behind, and the growth is obviously slowing down. Overall, the world economic situation tends to improve, but the situation is still complicated. In the third quarter, China's macro economy was clearly better, and its operating conditions were better than the second quarter and the first half. In the first three quarters of the machinery industry, the total profit realized increased by 13.4% year-on-year, 8.2 percentage points higher than the increase of 5.2% in the previous year.
Under the general environment of China's economic growth slowdown, the market environment and other growth factors have changed. China's machine tool industry is undergoing a severe test of transformation and upgrading. The China Machine Tool Industry Association's key contact enterprise data and some enterprises' research shows that in the first three quarters, especially from January to August, the machine tool industry was in a low-level operation state; the overall market scale shrank, the industry structure, product structure and market demand The contradictions have not been effectively alleviated; the profits of the company have continued to decline in the first three quarters, and the market competition has become increasingly fierce. Under the situation of insufficient recovery of the world economy, the downward trend of export growth has not improved significantly. At the same time, the long-term growth of imports has also fallen sharply. It confirms the overall shrinking market size.
According to the comprehensive data analysis, the industry's economic operation in the first three quarters showed the following main features: low capacity utilization, tight liquidity; demand structure continued to upgrade, marketing service model changed; equipment investment accounted for an increase, foreign investment enthusiasm declined; The economic recovery is weak, and emerging markets are hard to support.
Considering the "end-to-tail" at the end of the year and the low base at the end of the previous year, it is expected that the annual growth rate of the industry will reach 13-14% by the National Bureau of the Bureau, and the key enterprise can be flat or slightly reduced.
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