"I can't see through," which is a comment from many industry participants on the market in the first half of the year. There are many macroeconomic factors behind this inconsistency. 2010 is a special year, and the financial crisis that swept through 2008-2009 has slowly subsided, but when the economy takes off again, everyone has no bottom. The Central Economic Work Conference focused on macroeconomic regulation and control. This guiding policy has made the stone industry conservative in the first half of the year. The southwestern drought and the flood in the south of the Yangtze River have intensified the dilemma of the regional market. The facts are always unexpected. The purchase volume of some regional merchants has been triumphant, but the flat sales of the terminal have made the company confused.
In fact, these seemingly weird market performances have their deep macroeconomic background. Let us comb through these contexts and present a clear picture of the stone market.
Upgrading the industrial structure to control pollution emissions
The Central Economic Work Conference held in early 2010 proposed six major tasks, raising the level of macroeconomic regulation and control, and it is the first priority. The background of the central government’s heavy-handed implementation of various macro-control policies is obvious. The global economy has just emerged from the shadow of the financial crisis. It is a good time to cultivate and live. The introduction of various macro-control policies can not only prevent inflationary pressures triggered in the short term, but also increase the intensity of industrial restructuring and take advantage of the central government. Centralization of the enterprise and the market as soon as possible to bring out the quagmire of stagflation, while the new real estate policy of the heavy attack also provides a best note for the people.
The affected countries have increased the regulation and control of “high pollution, high energy consumption†industries, and the stone industry expansion has encountered policy bottlenecks. In the environment of energy conservation and emission reduction, the emission reduction targets of various regions have been closely linked with the performance appraisal, and some practices with only the highest investment performance have been gradually reversed. While we are seeing these gratifying changes, some stone companies have paid a heavy price for this.
The industry is looking forward to the local government, you are chasing me.
In recent years, the release of the No. 1 Document of the Central Government has aroused the popularity of the pan-home industry. The policy point of “Building Materials to the Countryside†has made the industry enthusiastic. Although the specific implementation measures for “building materials to the countryside†have not yet been introduced, the entire pan-home industry, including the stone industry, has been strained. I hope that the channel will continue to hit the third and fourth-tier markets.
On March 10, the Jiangxi Provincial Industry and Information Commission announced that it had submitted relevant proposals. If the pilot is launched in the second half of this year, Jiangxi Province is expected to become the first pilot area. According to the reporter's understanding, before the introduction of the "Building Materials to the Countryside" policy, Shandong Province has been piloted in some counties and cities, and its preemptive momentum is unmatched. In addition, relevant industry associations in Xinjiang also announced that the autonomous region is expected to become the first pilot provinces. At this point, the frenzy of “building materials to the countryside†has been extended from the pan-home industry to local governments.
On April 11, the China Building Material Merchants Conference was held in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The inter-ministerial joint research meeting of the six ministries and commissions of “Building Materials to the Countryside†was also carried out at the same time. The building materials industry including stone materials has a stronger desire for this policy.
Affecting the stone industry, global and other leading enterprises have already deployed well. Through the form of production and sales, the products have gradually penetrated into the third and fourth-tier markets. In the traditional sense, low-end products without brand and no after-sales are gradually replaced by low-end products of brand enterprises, and the market space is further compressed. In 2010, this trend will continue further. The low-end products that occupy the rural market at a low price for a long time may encounter a life-and-death battle, and the classization of the entire industry will also accelerate.
Worry to the winter and spring, the market is in a hurry this winter and spring
Since the beginning of the year, Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Guangxi and Chongqing's five provinces and cities have continued to experience severe drought. In mid-April, it is estimated that a severe drought has caused more than 64.20 million people to be affected. The crop area has exceeded 1.1 million hectares and the direct economic losses amounted to more than 24.6 billion yuan. In our impression, the southwest of the water and grass is a heavy drought area. Cities such as Kunming and Guiyang are in a tight water supply, and large areas of farmland are not harvested due to drought.
Affected industry sources pointed out that the following effects of the southwest drought on the stone industry will be continuous and in-depth, including energy, employment, sales and energy consumption standards, product trends, and the introduction and implementation of building energy conservation policies.
Coal has been rushing, agricultural machinery stocks have risen, and the impact of the drought has been highlighted. For the majority of stone merchants, this winter and spring may encounter the market freezing period.
The newspaper learned in the southwest region and major stone producing areas that the impact of drought on the production and sales of stone enterprises is limited. After all, the market is widely distributed, and the huge terminal base dilutes the impact of drought. But the business is the hardest hit by the drought. Some merchants did not receive a single order in a week, and some merchants said that with the arrival of the drought, the market will kill some shops in the second half of the year.
The disaster is coming quickly. The influence of the business is still big.
Since May 5, some southern provinces such as Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Jiangxi, and Guangdong have been hit by heavy rains. Chongqing and Guizhou are accompanied by windy hail. Up to now, the disaster has caused 2.55 million people to be affected, 100,000 hectares of crops have been affected, 65 people have died as a result of the disaster, and 14 people have disappeared (including 31 people who died in Chongqing due to strong winds, 1 missing), and nearly 10,000 houses collapsed. .
The floods affecting some southern provinces such as Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Jiangxi, and Guangdong have become the focus of national attention in the middle of the year. It is understood that the floods caused serious damage to houses and streets in some counties, cities and villages. According to the sample survey of this newspaper, the stocks of some merchants in Jiangxi, Guangdong and Guangxi have received certain influences. Some promotional activities have been cancelled, and the disaster situation of the manufacturers is relatively small, mainly affecting the bulk logistics. In addition, the government organizations in the affected areas have been able to recover. After the floods receded, the daily production and management activities of the manufacturers were also restored. Some merchants in the hardest hit areas have also suffered certain losses, but the losses are still within the controllable range.
In fact, these seemingly weird market performances have their deep macroeconomic background. Let us comb through these contexts and present a clear picture of the stone market.
Upgrading the industrial structure to control pollution emissions
The Central Economic Work Conference held in early 2010 proposed six major tasks, raising the level of macroeconomic regulation and control, and it is the first priority. The background of the central government’s heavy-handed implementation of various macro-control policies is obvious. The global economy has just emerged from the shadow of the financial crisis. It is a good time to cultivate and live. The introduction of various macro-control policies can not only prevent inflationary pressures triggered in the short term, but also increase the intensity of industrial restructuring and take advantage of the central government. Centralization of the enterprise and the market as soon as possible to bring out the quagmire of stagflation, while the new real estate policy of the heavy attack also provides a best note for the people.
The affected countries have increased the regulation and control of “high pollution, high energy consumption†industries, and the stone industry expansion has encountered policy bottlenecks. In the environment of energy conservation and emission reduction, the emission reduction targets of various regions have been closely linked with the performance appraisal, and some practices with only the highest investment performance have been gradually reversed. While we are seeing these gratifying changes, some stone companies have paid a heavy price for this.
The industry is looking forward to the local government, you are chasing me.
In recent years, the release of the No. 1 Document of the Central Government has aroused the popularity of the pan-home industry. The policy point of “Building Materials to the Countryside†has made the industry enthusiastic. Although the specific implementation measures for “building materials to the countryside†have not yet been introduced, the entire pan-home industry, including the stone industry, has been strained. I hope that the channel will continue to hit the third and fourth-tier markets.
On March 10, the Jiangxi Provincial Industry and Information Commission announced that it had submitted relevant proposals. If the pilot is launched in the second half of this year, Jiangxi Province is expected to become the first pilot area. According to the reporter's understanding, before the introduction of the "Building Materials to the Countryside" policy, Shandong Province has been piloted in some counties and cities, and its preemptive momentum is unmatched. In addition, relevant industry associations in Xinjiang also announced that the autonomous region is expected to become the first pilot provinces. At this point, the frenzy of “building materials to the countryside†has been extended from the pan-home industry to local governments.
On April 11, the China Building Material Merchants Conference was held in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The inter-ministerial joint research meeting of the six ministries and commissions of “Building Materials to the Countryside†was also carried out at the same time. The building materials industry including stone materials has a stronger desire for this policy.
Affecting the stone industry, global and other leading enterprises have already deployed well. Through the form of production and sales, the products have gradually penetrated into the third and fourth-tier markets. In the traditional sense, low-end products without brand and no after-sales are gradually replaced by low-end products of brand enterprises, and the market space is further compressed. In 2010, this trend will continue further. The low-end products that occupy the rural market at a low price for a long time may encounter a life-and-death battle, and the classization of the entire industry will also accelerate.
Worry to the winter and spring, the market is in a hurry this winter and spring
Since the beginning of the year, Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Guangxi and Chongqing's five provinces and cities have continued to experience severe drought. In mid-April, it is estimated that a severe drought has caused more than 64.20 million people to be affected. The crop area has exceeded 1.1 million hectares and the direct economic losses amounted to more than 24.6 billion yuan. In our impression, the southwest of the water and grass is a heavy drought area. Cities such as Kunming and Guiyang are in a tight water supply, and large areas of farmland are not harvested due to drought.
Affected industry sources pointed out that the following effects of the southwest drought on the stone industry will be continuous and in-depth, including energy, employment, sales and energy consumption standards, product trends, and the introduction and implementation of building energy conservation policies.
Coal has been rushing, agricultural machinery stocks have risen, and the impact of the drought has been highlighted. For the majority of stone merchants, this winter and spring may encounter the market freezing period.
The newspaper learned in the southwest region and major stone producing areas that the impact of drought on the production and sales of stone enterprises is limited. After all, the market is widely distributed, and the huge terminal base dilutes the impact of drought. But the business is the hardest hit by the drought. Some merchants did not receive a single order in a week, and some merchants said that with the arrival of the drought, the market will kill some shops in the second half of the year.
The disaster is coming quickly. The influence of the business is still big.
Since May 5, some southern provinces such as Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Jiangxi, and Guangdong have been hit by heavy rains. Chongqing and Guizhou are accompanied by windy hail. Up to now, the disaster has caused 2.55 million people to be affected, 100,000 hectares of crops have been affected, 65 people have died as a result of the disaster, and 14 people have disappeared (including 31 people who died in Chongqing due to strong winds, 1 missing), and nearly 10,000 houses collapsed. .
The floods affecting some southern provinces such as Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Jiangxi, and Guangdong have become the focus of national attention in the middle of the year. It is understood that the floods caused serious damage to houses and streets in some counties, cities and villages. According to the sample survey of this newspaper, the stocks of some merchants in Jiangxi, Guangdong and Guangxi have received certain influences. Some promotional activities have been cancelled, and the disaster situation of the manufacturers is relatively small, mainly affecting the bulk logistics. In addition, the government organizations in the affected areas have been able to recover. After the floods receded, the daily production and management activities of the manufacturers were also restored. Some merchants in the hardest hit areas have also suffered certain losses, but the losses are still within the controllable range.
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